New research confirms that, even as the Arctic warms faster than the rest of the world, cold-air outbreaks from the polar region will continue across the Northern Hemisphere in the coming decades.
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New research evaluates how changing climate may affect fish catch, fish distributions, and food web structure in the upper 600 meters of the ocean.
Stony Brook University scientists have identified an influential force in the tropical stratosphere that could help better forecast storm tracks and their extreme impacts, like future winter "bomb …
A new study analyzes forecasts of acidity and oxygen at the ocean’s surface and subsurface. Combining data sources improves forecast skill up to ten months in advance.
For the second year in a row, NOAA scientists observed a record annual increase in atmospheric levels of methane, a powerful, heat-trapping greenhouse gas that’s the second biggest contributor to human-caused global warming after carbon dioxide.
Carbon dioxide levels also recorded a big jump.
Days with the most prominent Saharan dust correlated with fewer thunderstorms in the Atlantic and less rainfall across Puerto Rico, a pattern that has become more frequent over the past 40 years.
A new climate model simulates realistic extreme precipitation over the Northeastern United States. By the mid-twenty-first century, the model projects unprecedented rainfall events over the region under the IPCC’s SSP5-8.5 scenario. Extreme precipitation (top 1 percent of daily precipitation) would double its frequency by the end of the century.
Key Findings According to GFDL ESM4.1, burned area and fire carbon emissions have increased since the 1950s in Alaska, especially in July, resulting in more frequent extreme events as in 2019. The…
The results of a new high-resolution climate model indicate that global warming made the 2018 Cape Town “Day Zero” drought five to six times more likely than it would have been in the 19th century. Models project that, without significant reductions in greenhouse gas emissions, such extreme droughts in the Cape Town region will become more frequent, occurring every few years or almost every year by the end of the 21st century.