The July 2022 Climate outlook favors a hotter-than-average month for much of the country with a continuation of the wet start to the North American monsoon across the Southwest.
Understanding Climate
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May 2022 was the ninth-warmest May in the 143-year NOAA record. Despite La Niña, there's a greater than 99 percent chance that 2022 will rank among the 10 warmest years on record.
Summer-like heat felt across much of the South during May. Drought conditions improve for some, yet remain across much of the West.
The June climate outlook favors a hotter-than-average start to summer for the southern and eastern United States and a cooler-than-average June for the north-central and northwestern U.S.
Despite the ongoing La Niña cooling the tropical Pacific, 2022 is virtually certain to be one of the 10 warmest years in the historical record.
April was a little cooler than average for the contiguous United States, and it was a month for extreme events, with tornadoes, blizzards, and wildfires.
May 2022 U.S. Climate Outlook: Cooler- and wetter-than-normal month favored across the northern tier
Across the southern tier, the odds are tilted towards a warmer-than-average May.
Fifth-warmest March on record. Near-record-low sea ice in the Southern Hemisphere. Many precipitation disruptions consistent with La Niña climate pattern.
Record drought conditions across West raise concerns for summer dry season.
In many locations, spring snow also melts earlier, reducing summer streamflows.